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  All major climate models have overestimated the effects of manmade warming. Analysis by Roy Spencer, Ph.D., and John Christy, Ph.D., shows that 44 of the worldﾃ｢ﾂ�ﾂ冱 leading climate models projected an average temperature rise of about 0.5oC during the last 16 years when measured temperatures were flat. The analysis was recently updated to include 73 of the leading climate models. Not a single model made an accurate forecast.