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  If we examine some past conflicts, we might think we have a template of how to “play” Syria. Looking at the 1991 Gulf War, Kosovo in 1999, the invasion of Afghanistan in 2001, the invasion of Iraq in 2003 and Libya in 2011, we can make some generalizations. The S&P 500 tends to sell off ahead of conflicts but recovers once they start. Oil tend to rise in the runup, and sell off on the news or just before. Gold sometimes rises ahead of fighting and usually sells off when it begins. The dollar tends to divert from whatever its trend was before the idea of conflict arose, and reverts to that trend once shots are fired.